Friday, January 25, 2008

With friends like this who needs enemies

With the destruction of the border fence between Gaza and Egypt in Rafah and subsequent free flow of traffic back and forth across the border, Hamas has again succeeded in throwing a monkey wrench into the US and Israeli plans to impose their will in this part of the world. Ever since their founding in the 1980’s with the assistance of the US and Israel as a counterbalance to the PLO, Hamas has been a problem for the US and Israel and some of their allies in the region. As my friend Palestinian Archbishop Elias Chacour once said to me, “Once the baby is born and grows up, it is hard to control it”. Because Hamas is an offshoot of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood, the largest opposition political organization in Egypt, the authoritarian Egyptian regime is leery of anything that might increase their strength. Jordan is concerned that any success by Hamas with its Islamist agenda will empower the Islamists within Jordan. For Fatah and the PLO, Hamas is their biggest political rival. Hamas now controls Gaza and my sources tell me that Jordanian Intelligence believes that Hamas is actually stronger in the West Bank than Fatah. Ever since Hamas won the general election in 2006, the US, Israel and their western allies have portrayed themselves as friends and supporters of Fatah, primarily with guns and money. Worry on Hamas’ part that this aid would allow Fatah to destroy them militarily led to the Hamas takeover of Gaza. One of the first things that Hamas accomplished in Gaza was to disarm all of the factions and criminal gangs in Gaza and make the security forces the only ones with guns. This was a very popular move with the average citizens. As one Gazan woman said, “We may not have much money, but at least we can go shopping and visit our friends and family without risking getting killed”. Seeing the popularity of this move, Fatah tried to do the same thing in Nablus when Israel turned security there over to them. Israel, however, made it backfire by invading Nablus and arresting many of the people that had just been disarmed. PA President Mahmoud Abbas’ strategy has been to show that he can accomplish more to relieve the suffering of the Palestinian people by engaging and compromising with his friends the US and Israel than Hamas can accomplish by resistance and confrontation. The problem is that Abbas didn’t pick very reliable friends. When Israel completely blockaded Gaza, creating a humanitarian crisis, Abbas, Egypt and Jordan pleaded with the US to do something to help. Nothing happened. Hamas took action by blowing up the border fence. This not only broke the blockade, but created diplomatic chaos in Israel, Egypt and the US. They have been issuing conflicting and contradictory statements by the hour. Hamas has asked that the border be reestablished, but that the border be open and controlled. The US has threatened Egypt with loss of aid if they do so. Israel isn’t sure what to say. Tough decisions. A lot of uncertainty. One thing that is certain is that Hamas will come out of this stronger and Fatah and its “friends” will be weaker.

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